Pair #4358

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 26409687

YES ask: 0.0820
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0820

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Rules

If Scottie Scheffler wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-SSCH

Masters Tournament: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 257606

YES ask: 0.8300
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:01:45Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. So if Scheffler wins, he must finish top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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