Pair #4355

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATP1RANK-26JUN30-AZVE

Who will be the #1 ranked ATP men's singles player on Jun 30, 2026?

Series: KXATP1RANK
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-06-30T16:00:00Z
Volume: 3434

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev is the #1 ranked on the PIF ATP singles rankings on Jun 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1626747

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.6300
Last: 0.3900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:01:45Z

Reasoning: Being #1 ranked on Jun 30 does not require winning the French Open (the French Open ends around Jun 8, and rankings could shift). Winning the French Open does not guarantee being #1 ranked on Jun 30. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -98.26% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3800
Days to maturity: 29
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -102.48% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue