Pair #4350

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4158

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR01JOVPAR-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Jovic vs Parks : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-04-01T18:00:00Z
Volume: 14588

YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the Jovic vs Parks professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:01:45Z

Reasoning: Winning a Grand Slam in 2026 has no logical connection to winning a WTA Charleston match. Charleston is not a Grand Slam tournament. Neither event necessitates the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -63.31% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.8000
Days to maturity: 214
Hurdle yield: 4.28%
Excess yield: -67.59% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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