KXMARMAD-26-WIS
Will Wisconsin win the College Basketball National Championship?
Series: KXMARMAD
Entity: Wisconsin
Expiration: 2026-04-07T14:00:00Z
Volume: 3194900
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXMARMADROUND-26RO32-WIS
Will Wisconsin qualify for the Men's March Madness Round of 32?
Series: KXMARMADROUND
Entity: Wisconsin
Expiration: 2026-03-29T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6515
YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8100
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:09:31Z
Reasoning: To win the National Championship, Wisconsin must have advanced through the Round of 32. Winning the championship logically necessitates qualifying for the Round of 32. The reverse is not true.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.8200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:39:36Z