Pair #4349

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 70447

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

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Rules

If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR01JOVPAR-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Jovic vs Parks : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-04-01T18:00:00Z
Volume: 14588

YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iva Jovic wins the Jovic vs Parks professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:01:45Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning the WTA Charleston Round of 32 match (different tournament entirely). Winning the Charleston Round of 32 match does not require winning the French Open. These are completely separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.8000
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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