Pair #4345

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 97143

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR31PEGPUT-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Pegula vs Putintseva : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-31T18:00:00Z
Volume: 9097

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jessica Pegula wins the Pegula vs Putintseva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:01:15Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open and winning a Round of 32 match at the WTA Charleston event are completely separate tournaments. No logical connection in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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