KXMARMAD-26-WIS
Will Wisconsin win the College Basketball National Championship?
Series: KXMARMAD
Entity: Wisconsin
Expiration: 2026-04-07T14:00:00Z
Volume: 3194900
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXMARMADROUND-26F4-WIS
Will Wisconsin qualify for the Men's March Madness Final Four?
Series: KXMARMADROUND
Entity: Wisconsin
Expiration: 2026-03-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 119418
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:09:31Z
Reasoning: To win the National Championship, Wisconsin must pass through the Final Four. Winning the championship logically necessitates qualifying for the Final Four. The reverse is not true.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0600
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:26:43Z