Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BSNE
Valero Texas Open: Will Brandt Snedeker make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 6837
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brandt Snedeker has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-BSNE
Will Brandt Snedeker lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7372
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brandt Snedeker is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:01:15Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could have a poor Round 2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.0200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A