Pair #4337

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BSNE

Valero Texas Open: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2903

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BSNE

Valero Texas Open: Will Brandt Snedeker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 6837

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:01:15Z

Reasoning: To finish in the top 10 of a golf tournament, a player must have made the cut. Finishing top 10 logically necessitates making the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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