Pair #4332

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BSNE

Valero Texas Open: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2903

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-BSNE

Valero Texas Open: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6097

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:00:52Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing between 11th and 20th resolves top 20 YES but top 10 NO.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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