Pair #4320

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-UTA

Will Utah Mammoth win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Utah Mammoth
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4112

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Utah Mammoth win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-UTA

Will the Utah Mammoth win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Utah Mammoth
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 631

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Utah Mammoth wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: The President's Trophy is awarded to the team with the best record in the entire NHL, which could come from any division. A team can win the Central Division without having the league's best record, and the league's best team might not be in the Central Division.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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