Pair #4316

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLATLANTIC-26-BOS

Will Boston Bruins win the NHL Atlantic Division?

Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Boston Bruins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 12005

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Boston Bruins win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-BOS

Will the Boston Bruins win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Boston Bruins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 9853

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Boston Bruins wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: The President's Trophy goes to the team with the best record in the entire NHL, which could be a team from any division — not necessarily the Atlantic Division winner. Conversely, winning the Atlantic Division does not mean having the best record league-wide. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

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