Pair #4314

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLEAST-26-BOS

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Boston Bruins
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 200889

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Boston Bruins wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-BOS

Will the Boston Bruins win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Boston Bruins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 9853

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Boston Bruins wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals is a playoff achievement; the President's Trophy is awarded for the best regular season record league-wide. Neither implies the other — a team can win one without the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 12.56% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: 31
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: +8.34% PROFITABLE

Human Review

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