Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SPOW
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seamus Power finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 777
YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Seamus Power finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SPOW
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seamus Power finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 415
YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.1700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Seamus Power finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:18:14Z
Reasoning: If Power finishes top 10, he necessarily also finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2400
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A