Pair #4307

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MKUC

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Matt Kuchar finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 266

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Kuchar finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MKUC

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Matt Kuchar finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5270

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Kuchar finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:18:14Z

Reasoning: If Kuchar finishes top 10, he necessarily also finishes top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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