Pair #4305

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR27DETBUF-DET

Detroit at Buffalo Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: DET Red Wings
Expiration: 2026-03-28T02:00:00Z
Volume: 4870

YES ask: 0.4100
NO ask: 0.6100
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules If DET Red Wings wins the Detroit at Buffalo professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR28PHIDET-DET

Philadelphia at Detroit Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: DET Red Wings
Expiration: 2026-03-29T03:00:00Z
Volume: 7331

YES ask: 0.5800
NO ask: 0.4300
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules If DET Red Wings wins the Philadelphia at Detroit professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:18:03Z

Reasoning: These are two separate games on consecutive days. Detroit winning on Mar 27 against Buffalo does not logically necessitate Detroit winning on Mar 28 against Philadelphia, and vice versa. Each game is independent.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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