Pair #428

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 97143

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 9229

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:09:31Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open are completely separate tournaments. Winning one does not necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 50.32% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: +46.10% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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