Pair #4249

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR26SEATB-TB

Seattle at Tampa Bay Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-03-27T02:00:00Z
Volume: 23165

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Seattle at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR28OTTTB-TB

Ottawa at Tampa Bay Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-03-28T20:00:00Z
Volume: 12032

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Ottawa at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:17:10Z

Reasoning: These are two separate hockey games on different dates. Winning one game does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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