Pair #4245

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-AWIS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Wise finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aaron Wise
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 750

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aaron Wise finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-AWIS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Wise finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Aaron Wise
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 251

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aaron Wise finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:16:57Z

Reasoning: If Aaron Wise finishes in the top 10, he necessarily also finishes in the top 20. The reverse does not hold — a top-20 finish does not guarantee a top-10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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