Pair #423

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLHART-26-KKUC

Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy?

Series: KXNHLHART
Entity: Nikita Kucherov
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 338815

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nikita Kucherov wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLROSS-26-NKUC

Who will win Art Ross Trophy?

Series: KXNHLROSS
Entity: Nikita Kucherov
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 49319

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nikita Kucherov wins the NHL Art Ross Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:09:15Z

Reasoning: Winning the Hart Trophy does not require winning the Art Ross Trophy, and vice versa. These are independent awards.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7900
Days to maturity: 30
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

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