Pair #4194

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-DGHI

Will Doug Ghim win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7352

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Doug Ghim wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DGHI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Doug Ghim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 415

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Doug Ghim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:16:04Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 20 finish. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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