Pair #4191

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-JPAR

Will John Parry lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: John Parry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1233

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If John Parry is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JPAR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will John Parry finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: John Parry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1038

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If John Parry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:16:04Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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