Pair #4189

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-HLEB

Will Hank Lebioda lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Hank Lebioda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1028

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hank Lebioda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HLEB

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hank Lebioda finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Hank Lebioda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 222

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hank Lebioda finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:16:04Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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