Pair #4188

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-CKIR

Will Chris Kirk lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Chris Kirk
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 333

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Kirk is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-CKIR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Kirk finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chris Kirk
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1277

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Kirk finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:16:04Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish, and finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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