Pair #4187

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-GHIG

Will Garrick Higgo lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Garrick Higgo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2720

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Garrick Higgo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-GHIG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Garrick Higgo finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Garrick Higgo
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 936

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Garrick Higgo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:16:04Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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