Pair #4183

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TKAN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Takumi Kanaya finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Takumi Kanaya
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 363

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Takumi Kanaya finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TKAN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Takumi Kanaya make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Takumi Kanaya
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1829

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Takumi Kanaya has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:48Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires having made the cut to play all four rounds. However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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