Pair #4182

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-TKAN

Will Takumi Kanaya lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Takumi Kanaya
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 280

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Takumi Kanaya is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TKAN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Takumi Kanaya finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Takumi Kanaya
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 363

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Takumi Kanaya finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:48Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee finishing top 10, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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