Pair #4181

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TKAN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Takumi Kanaya make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Takumi Kanaya
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1829

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Takumi Kanaya has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-TKAN

Will Takumi Kanaya lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Takumi Kanaya
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 280

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Takumi Kanaya is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:48Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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