Pair #4178

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-APUT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 775

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-APUT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 365

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:48Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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