Pair #4177

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-APUT

Will Andrew Putnam win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7426

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Putnam wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-APUT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 365

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:48Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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