Pair #4174

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SRYD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Ryder finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3689

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Ryder finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SRYD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Ryder make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1525

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5900
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Ryder has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:48Z

Reasoning: If Sam Ryder finishes top 5, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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