Pair #4171

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-PKIZ

Will Patton Kizzire lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Patton Kizzire
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 467

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patton Kizzire is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-PKIZ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patton Kizzire finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Patton Kizzire
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5615

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patton Kizzire finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:31Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-20 tournament finish. Finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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