Pair #4167

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ASVE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Svensson make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Adam Svensson
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 16286

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Svensson has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-ASVE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Svensson finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Adam Svensson
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1031

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Svensson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:31Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (the cut is determined after Round 2). Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10 in Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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