Pair #4166

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HEIO26-ACHE

Will Angad Cheema win the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Angad Cheema
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4131

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Angad Cheema wins the Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HEIO26-ACHE

Will Angad Cheema lead at the end of Round 1 in the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD
Entity: Angad Cheema
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1730

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Angad Cheema is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament does not require leading after Round 1, and leading after Round 1 does not imply winning the tournament. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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