Pair #4164

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HEIO26-JGIR

Will Joel Girrbach win the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Joel Girrbach
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1300

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joel Girrbach wins the Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HEIO26-JGIR

Hero Indian Open: Will Joel Girrbach make the cut?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Joel Girrbach
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 466

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joel Girrbach has made the cut at the 2026 Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:31Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, a player must make the cut. If Joel Girrbach wins the Hero Indian Open, he must have made the cut. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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