Pair #4161

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-CBLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chandler Blanchet finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 944

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-CBLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chandler Blanchet finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1007

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:05Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish is necessarily also a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing 11th–20th is top 20 but not top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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