Pair #4159

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-CBLA

Will Chandler Blanchet lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2495

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-CBLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chandler Blanchet finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 944

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:05Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not logically necessitate a top 10 finish, and a top 10 finish does not require leading after Round 1. These are independent outcomes.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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