Pair #4157

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10559

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4022

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:05Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish is necessarily also a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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