Pair #4156

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10559

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6232

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:05Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish is necessarily also a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing 6th–10th is top 10 but not top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue