Pair #4152

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-VWHA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Vince Whaley finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6770

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-VWHA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Vince Whaley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22567

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:05Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish is necessarily also a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing 11th–20th is top 20 but not top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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