Pair #4151

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-VWHA

Will Vince Whaley win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 100246

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Vince Whaley wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-VWHA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Vince Whaley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22567

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:05Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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