Pair #4150

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-VWHA

Will Vince Whaley win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 100246

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vince Whaley wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-VWHA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Vince Whaley finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6770

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:15:05Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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