Pair #4149

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-PFIS

Will Patrick Fishburn win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Fishburn
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 759

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Fishburn wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-PFIS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patrick Fishburn finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Patrick Fishburn
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 521

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Fishburn finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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