Pair #4146

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ADUM

Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 145360

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ADUM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2159

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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