Pair #4144

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-TPEN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 809

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TPEN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1709

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:46Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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