Pair #4141

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-CHAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Cole Hammer make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Cole Hammer
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2303

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.8800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cole Hammer has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-CHAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Cole Hammer finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Cole Hammer
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2726

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cole Hammer finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:46Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish — a player can make the cut and still finish outside the top 20. Finishing top 20 does not strictly require making the cut in the traditional sense (top 20 finishers will have made the cut, but the implication from top 20 to make cut is high). Actually, finishing top 20 does imply making the cut, since only players who make the cut can finish in the top 20. However, making the cut does not imply top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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