Pair #4139

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-CHAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Cole Hammer make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Cole Hammer
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2303

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.8800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cole Hammer has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-CHAM

Will Cole Hammer lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Cole Hammer
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 907

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cole Hammer is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:46Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player can lead R1 and then play poorly in R2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not imply leading after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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