Pair #4138

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-CHAM

Will Cole Hammer win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Cole Hammer
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7345

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cole Hammer wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-CHAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Cole Hammer finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Cole Hammer
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2726

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cole Hammer finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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