Pair #4135

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-LCLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Luke Clanton finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2465

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-LCLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Luke Clanton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2444

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:26Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 as well. Top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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