Pair #4134

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-LCLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Luke Clanton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2444

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-LCLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Luke Clanton make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 267

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Luke Clanton has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:14:26Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires having made the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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